Saturday, September 20, 2014

QE to End in Oct - Equity Balance Update to 20-Sep-2014

This week the FED has announced further QE reduction, and it send USD higher. There has been promise of low interest rate policy and market responded positively.

Alibaba went IPO on Friday and the first day gain is 30%. It's just for the big players as price shoot up at opening straight.

The total profit has increase to 2.85K this week. I'm not really so optimistic with the market now.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Equity Balance Update to 13-Sep-2014

This week the USD has continued to be strong. Gld price declined to almost year low. The stocks are stable but forming some kind of top shape.

The total profit has increase to 2.4K, mainly due to stronger US currency.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, September 6, 2014

The Weaker US Non-Farm Payroll in Aug - Equity Balance Update to 06-Sep-2014

This week I've made a few trades. Joyoung, Baogang, NOL, ShengSiong,  HKLand, DIA, MCD.
This week the USD has been strong. US markets have been rising. Total profit has increase to 2.2K.

Aug the non-farm payroll data decreased unexpectedly. Unemployment rate is stable to 6.1. The data are generally neutral, and QE will still likely to end by this fall as planned.

I've failed my objective to stop trading frequently. This is bad and I have to enforce some control. The current portfolio has been consolidated. This has become a KPI now, not to make unnecessary trade.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Equity Balance Update to 30-Aug-2014

This week, I've reduced some of my stocks holding.

The total profit has decreased a bit to 1.7K. This is end of month Aug, the updated balance chart as follows:



Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, August 23, 2014

Equity Balance Update to 23-Aug-2014

This week I've bought some more stock. The markets are in general continuing to rise.

The total profit has increase to 1.8K. I'm almost fully vested now based on current conditions. It's time to be cautious too.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, August 16, 2014

The Weakening USD - Equity Balance Update to 16-Aug-2014

This week has been good for local market. While USD weakened and Dow recovered but showed weakness towards closing of the week.
My total profit has increased a bit to 1.0K.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, August 9, 2014

Happy Birthday to SG - Equity Balance Update to 09-Aug-2014

This week I've purchased back some stocks.
The USD has been strong this week. Gold price also recovered on Iraq and Ulkraine news.

The total profit has increase to 0.8K this week.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, August 2, 2014

Less QE and Dow in Correction - Equity Balance Update to 02-Aug-2014

This week I've bought back some DIA and Msft shares.
USD rebounded with QE reduction announcement and it benefited to my balance.

Total loss has swing to profit of 0.15K.

Though US went into correction, but local market performed well this week.
It's hard to see how it will move, but this time the correction could last some time.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Saturday, July 26, 2014

A Tough Week for Airflight Carriers - Equity Balance Update to 26-Jul-2014

This week I've further reduced GLD from my portfolio.
The total loss has improved to -0.1K.

It has come to end of July this week, the updated balance chart as follows:



Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.

Thursday, July 24, 2014

Investment Methodology Review Jul 2014

It has been 5 years since I'm in the market. It has not been long enough but I've learned valuable lessons.

I've seen the crisis from subprime, the QE1, 2, 3, and the ups and downs of local SGX market, small counters, gold price, US dollar, and the super bull of US markets.

It is continuing. The world economy is gaining traction and US economy is reaffirming the good growth projection with data sets.

For an individual, the real question is how to profit from the market.
It's simple question but not easy to achieve consistently.

As of now, STI is hitting new 52week high, and US is refreshing all time high, but over the 5 years I'm still at verge of break even.

Being winning is key importance but it's more important to be able to win in the long run.

I'm thinking about this and would like to take a step back to rethink my method.

It gives more consideration to fundamental big picture. The US leadership, the rising of China, and local economy structure. The world economy projection, worldwide energy disputes, worldwide political powers struggle. It's a good time and also time to be cautious.

Investment products. Stocks, ETFs, Forex. Most of the time, it should be Stocks, ETFs only. Forex means real foreign Cash, forex CFD can only be used for monetary policy related opportunity and NO stocks related CFD.

Currncies. SGD, USD, CNY.

It has come to a time where it's more difficult to make money. I will switch to opportunity mode. Most fund will be in cash with some (up to 20%) fixed income type with interest/ pref shares. Stocks will compose of 10% but potential good return. GLD etf will compose of 6-8%.
Not much trade operation but mostly will be on DJI etf.
to enter at 60day average with a regular invest pholosophy. If it rise fast will take profit and buy more if there is 15% drop or enough time span.

This will be the way till new opportunities arise, could it be another black swan event, or some crazy QE come up.

The counters which want to hold when price is right: Msft, HKLand, Kepcorp.


Disclaimer: This post is not a call to buy or sell. Plse do your own analysis and make investment decisions.